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Relegated teams squad renewal and performance

Posted on December 3rd, 2018

What happens to teams when they get relegated? How much do their squads end up changing as a result of relegation, and how does it impact on-pitch performance? We have performed some analysis on the last five completed PL and Championship seasons (i.e. 13/14 to 17/18) to try to answer these questions. We first investigate […]

Champions League forecasts

Posted on September 17th, 2018

The group stages of the Champions League is set to kick-off tomorrow. A summary of our Champions League forecasts is shown below. The team most likely to win the competition is Barcelona (20.3%), with Bayern Munich (18.4%) and Real Madrid (16.1%) being the next most likely teams to win the competition. Looking at the progression chances […]

The world cup as seen through the lens of Twitter

Posted on July 16th, 2018

The world cup is over. It’s been a thrilling month of exciting matches, great goals and surprises. Events like the world cup get discussed and mentioned a lot on Twitter. This allows us to determine which events sparked the most discussion, as well as establish which teams got the most positive response from the Twitterverse. […]

World Cup Final and third place play-off forecasts

Posted on July 12th, 2018

The World Cup semi-finals are over. France and Croatia have progressed to the finals of this year’s World Cup. Below are our predictions for the World Cup final and third place play-offs:      

A World Cup of late goals, penalties, own goals and unexpected results?

Posted on July 11th, 2018

The 2018 World Cup is drawing to a close. It’s been a very interesting and dramatic tournament to follow. There has been a lot of discussion on how this World Cup stands out in terms of the nature of the goals scored. In particular, there is a lot of discussion around the increased number of […]

Should England lose to Belgium?

Posted on June 28th, 2018

England are going into their third and final match against Belgium this evening as favourites to with the match (38% chance of winning), but should they win it?   There has been much discussion in the past couple of days on the potential benefits of England finishing second in group G to have an easier […]

Social media response to the England vs Panama match

Posted on June 25th, 2018

England’s second game against Panama played out considerably better than their opening game against Tunisia. The graphs below show how Twitter responded during the course of the match. Social media activity was at its highest just after Harry Kane scored his second penalty to make the score 5-0 shortly before half time, but the most […]

World cup progression forecasts after second round of group stage matches

Posted on June 25th, 2018

With the World Cup firmly underway, each team only has one match left to play in the group stage. Brazil and Germany have the greatest likelihood of winning their respective 3rd round matches, each with a 73% chance whilst Croatia, Argentina, Spain and Colombia also have a reasonably high chance of victory. Japan’s game against […]

Tunisia – England as seen through social media

Posted on June 19th, 2018

Social media platforms such as Twitter are a common outlet for discussion about the World Cup. The patterns and nature of the social media content can tell us a lot about how people respond to different teams and events in the World Cup. The number mentions of “#WorldCup” spike every time an interesting event occurs […]

England’s prospects for the World Cup

Posted on June 18th, 2018

Tonight is England’s first match in the 2018 World Cup. England are heading into it as strong favourites to win the match, but the past couple of days have seen several competition favourites fail to win their opening matches. These events serve as a good reminder that being a stronger team is far from a […]